Kuva mu Gushyingo, ikirere kiri mu bice bitandukanye bya Pakisitani byabaye byiza, kandi imirima myinshi yasaruwe. Umusaruro wose wa ipamba muri 2023/24 na we wagenwe. Nubwo iterambere ryimbaho ziheruka ryatinze cyane ugereranije nigihe cyambere, umubare wurutonde uracyarengana numwaka ushize hamwe na 50%. Ibigo byigenga bifite ibyifuzo bihamye kumusaruro wuzuye ipamba nshya kuri toni miliyoni 1.28-13.2 (icyuho hagati yinzego zo hejuru no hepfo zagabanutse cyane); Dukurikije raporo ya USDA iheruka, umusaruro w'ipamba wose muri Pakisitani mu mwaka wa 2023/24 wari kuri toni miliyoni 1.415, hamwe na toni zitumizwa muri miliyoni 1.415, hamwe n'ibihugu bitumizwa mu mahanga na toni 914000.
Amasosiyete menshi y'ipamba i Punjab, Sindh n'abandi ntara bavuze ko hashingiwe ku mbaraga z'impanuka, bitunganya abahinzi, haza neza ibitekerezo ku bahinzi, umusaruro wa Pakisitani uzarenga toni miliyoni 1.3. Ariko, hari ibyiringiro bike byo kurenga toni miliyoni 1.4, nk'umwuzure muri Lahore no mu tundi turere kuva muri Nyakanga kugeza Kanama, ndetse no mu mapfa n'akomatanya mu turere twipanyomo, bizakomeza kugira ingaruka runaka ku ipamba.
Raporo y'Ubwami ya USDA itabaza koherezwa mu mapongo ya Pakisitani mu mwaka w'ingengo y'imari 23/24 uzaba tons 17000 gusa. Amasosiyete amwe n'amwe yo gucuruza na Pakisitani yohereza ibicuruzwa hanze ntabwo yemeranya, kandi bivugwa ko umubare wo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga uzarenga 30000 cyangwa 50000. Raporo ya USDA ni zimwe mu bahanga. Impamvu zirashobora kuvugwa mu ncamake ku buryo bukurikira:
Umwe ni uko ipamba ya Pakisitani yinjira mu Bushinwa, Bangladesh, Vietnam, n'ibindi bihugu byakomeje kwihutisha muri 2023/24. Duhereye ku bushakashatsi, birashobora kugaragara ko kuva mu Kwakira, ingano yo kugera kuri Pakisitani iva ku byambu bikomeye nka Qingdaangang mu Bushinwa yakomeje kwiyongera mu 2023/24. Amikoro ni m 1-1 / 16 (ikomeye 28GPT) na M1-3 / 32 (bikomeye 28gpt). Kubera inyungu zabo, hamwe no gushimira RMB kurwanya amafaranga ya Amerika, imishinga yimyenda yiganjemo ipamba kandi nkeya yiganjemo ipamba kandi OE Yarn yagiye buhoro buhoro kuri Pakisitani buhoro buhoro.
Ikibazo cya kabiri ni uko ububiko bwabanyamahanga bwa Pakisitani buri gihe buri gihe mu gihe cy'ibibazo, kandi birakenewe kwagura ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu ipamba, ipamba ya Cotton hamwe n'ibindi bicuruzwa kugira ngo babone amadovize kandi birinde guhomba kw'igihugu. Nk'uko byatangajwe na Banki nkuru y'igihugu ya Pakisitani (PBOC) ku ya 16 Ugushyingo, guhera ku ya 10 Ugushyingo, imigezi ya PBEC yagabanutseho miliyoni 114.8 kuri miliyari 7.3967 kubera kwishyura umwenda wo hanze. Ivunjisha ry'amahanga ryakozwe na Banki y'Ubucuruzi ya Pakisitani ni 5.1388 z'amadolari y'Amerika. Ku ya 15 Ugushyingo, Imf yatangaje ko yakoresheje isubiramo ryayo rya mbere kuri gahunda y'inguzanyo ya Pakisitani, yakoresheje amasezerano y'inguzanyo ya Pakisitani maze agera ku masezerano y'urwego rw'umukozi.
Icya gatatu, urusyo rwa Pakisitani rwahuye no kurwanya ibintu no kugurisha, hamwe no guca imisaruro no guhagarika. Outlook yo kunywa ipamba muri 2023/24 ntabwo ari icyizere, no gutunganya imishinga hamwe nabacuruzi bizeye ko izagura ipamba yohereza no kugabanya igitutu gitanga umusaruro. Kubera ikibazo gikomeye cyamabwiriza mashya, kwikuramo inyungu zikomeye kurubuga rwa Yarn, hamwe nubwato bukomeye, imishinga yimyenda yimyenda yagabanije umusaruro kandi ifite igipimo kinini. Nk'uko imibare yaherutse gusohoka ku ishyirahamwe rya MILS (Aptma), ibyoherezwa mu mahanga muri Nzeri 20% by'umwaka-mu mwaka (kuri miliyari 1.35 z'amadolari y'Amerika). Mu gihembwe cya mbere cy'uyu mwaka w'ingengo y'imari (Nyakanga kugeza muri Nzeri), kohereza imyenda no kohereza imyenda yo kugabanywa kuri miliyari 4.58 z'amadolari yo muri Amerika mu gihe kimwe cy'amadolari ya Amerika, Kugabanuka kw'umwaka.
Igihe cyohereza: Ukuboza-02-2023